April 24, 2026

China weathers Trump tariffs but Iran war hits factories hard

china weathers trump tariffs but iran war hits factories hard
Photo source: BBC

The Canton Fair’s vast halls hum with global buyers captivated by China’s technological advances, from singing humanoid robots and AI glasses that translate languages instantly to exoskeleton legs for scaling mountains and quick-clean vacuum cleaners alongside espresso machines and hair curlers.

Traders admit prices are rising, largely because of oil-intensive plastic production, but deals keep flowing as attendance climbs 15% year on year, according to Reuters. Electric vehicle stalls draw the biggest crowds, with March exports reaching 350,000 units, a 30% increase from February and 140% from last year, per the China Passenger Car Association.

This innovation drive highlights Beijing’s preferred image of a forward-marching nation as the U.S. wrestles with Middle East turmoil. Trader Joyce Liu captures the pivot. “Last year 90% of our cars went to the Middle East but this year because of the war we almost stopped doing business with them,” she says. “Some of the cars are still waiting at Chinese ports.”

Buyers from Africa, South America, India, Bangladesh, Turkey, and Oman now haggle eagerly, their interest sharpened by soaring global petrol prices.

china factories
Photo source: BBC

China’s oil reserves and renewable dominance have blunted the worst of the Strait of Hormuz disruptions, which handle 20% of world supply. Yet factory floors in Guangdong tell a grimmer story.

In Guangzhou’s throbbing textile markets, an hour from Foshan, motorbikes haul fabric rolls for brands like Zara, Shein, and Temu amid honking lorries. Petrochemical costs have jumped 20-30%, squeezing slim margins. “Costs have gone up around 20%,” says one unnamed trader directing workers with fabric cylinders.

Back in Foshan’s alleys, workers over 40 eye meagre 18-20 yuan hourly gigs moulding plastics or assembling phones. “No one understands what our life is like,” laments one unnamed man. “We work and work and have no life. Please help us,” adds another.

Beijing urges a ceasefire, balancing diplomacy with ally Iran and Gulf leaders while eyeing a May Trump summit. As Chatham House’s Yu Jie notes, China seeks a predictable U.S. The war bolsters self-reliance but exposes export frailties in an economy facing 4.8% growth, IMF forecasts suggest. Resilience endures, yet worker discontent simmers.

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